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How to calculate total chance from different simultaneous chances
#3
Not quite sure how it works, but if it's 5% per cast then it's...well, 5%.

However, if it's 5% per hit (regardless of whether the skill drains only once or otherwise)...

P(4 activations) = (0.05)^4 = 0.00000625
P(3 activations) = (0.05)^3 = 0.000125
P(2 activations) = (0.05)^2 = 0.0025

Also:

X ~ No. of activations, out of 4.
X ~ B(4, 0.05)

P(X greater than or equal to 1)
= 1 - P(X = 0)
= 0.18549375

p.s. simply put, the last one is the probability that Dragon Wisdom would activate at least once per 4-hit Buster.
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How to calculate total chance from different simultaneous chances - by Hanabira.Kage - 2011-09-07, 08:36 PM

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