2009-11-30, 09:39 PM
EmuAlert Wrote:
balance withdrawal & bet result fail debt 0 1 fail 1 -1 2 fail 3 -3 6 fail 9 -9 18 fail 27 -27 54 fail 81 -81 162 fail 243 -243 486 pass x 243
I think it's better to view it this way:
| bet | debt-result | win-total-result | probability of winning |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | p |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | p |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | p |
| 18 | 27 | 9 | p |
| 54 | 81 | 27 | p |
| 162 | 243 | 81 | p |
| 486 | 729 | 243 | p |
Problem being, it's a higher chance to lose money than earn. That means that you will on average lose money instead of earning it.
It's easier than the "If you flip a coin until you get heads, I will give you
dollars, where n is the amount of tails you got in a row" though. You could try to find the expectation-value of that one! 
Noah

