Noah Wrote:10% of 10% is 1%. 0.1 * 0.1 = 0.01 = 1%.
Thus, I have high doubts with your simulations, unless this 50k simulation is scrolling 10%s in a row, where 533 were 2 in a row. Which would be really close to the real thing.
That was the stated target of his A) scenario and the simulation bore that out by achieving 1.066%, well within the standard deviation for probability.
It's not having what you want - It's wanting what you've got.