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+--- Thread: Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? (/showthread.php?tid=14445)
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Noah - 2009-08-01
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - USMC - 2009-08-01
Great stuff! Thanks for making it. But it's too complicated(to calculate the rate and stuff) for me to even bother, chaos scroll is all about luck xD.
I'm sure some people will love it tho.
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Shidoshi - 2009-08-02
Nice work, it's always fun to see math applied to interesting and useful things (as well as people's time and effort, thanks).
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - rayhovite - 2009-08-02
I am impressed you finished your chaos scroll calculation project. I know you've worked on it for a long while. Though I assume you did it just for fun more than anything since you are a fellow statistician in the making.
And any statistician that plays maple knows all probabilities of success in this game are antagonizingly low, ESPECIALLY chaos scrolls. Probability of success (0.6) x probability of getting +5 is already bad. Trying to get 2 in a row is.....yikes. Freaking Nexon and their addiction to low conditional probabilities.
Might as well play Vegas slots since you get better odds.
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Veneni - 2009-08-02
Sweet! I like the "Find certain probability" very much =)
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Noah - 2009-08-02
USMC Wrote:Great stuff! Thanks for making it. But it's too complicated(to calculate the rate and stuff) for me to even bother, chaos scroll is all about luck xD.
I'm sure some people will love it tho.
If you by any means want to find a certain probability, and doesn't quite understand how to do it, please feel free to ask! I have more than enough sparetime to explain how it's done, and even find the output for you, if you wonder.
rayhovite Wrote:I am impressed you finished your chaos scroll calculation project. I know you've worked on it for a long while. Though I assume you did it just for fun more than anything since you are a fellow statistician in the making.
And any statistician that plays maple knows all probabilities of success in this game are antagonizingly low, ESPECIALLY chaos scrolls. Probability of success (0.6) x probability of getting +5 is already bad. Trying to get 2 in a row is.....yikes. Freaking Nexon and their addiction to low conditional probabilities.
Might as well play Vegas slots since you get better odds.
Well, it's partly made for fun and partly for curiosity. The question for scrolling with abandoning an item if the scroll fails were made here, and chaos scrolling was something I was interested in anyway, but others mentioned it here. Thus I wondered how I could solve this, and voilà, the result is this calculator.
People can easily find out how low the chances are whenever you try to hit 3 30%s in a row. But if you have 100 30%s, what are then the chances to actually hit 3 30%s in a row on a single glove, assuming abandoning?
So yeah. It's very handy if you're using the same scroll on a single equip you can easily grab a hold on. For some of us, it's also quite interesting to see the probabilities. (More than 70 quadrillion chaos scrolls in order to make a perfect zakum helm, you say?)
Well, thanks for the positive input everyone
Noah
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Kigaz - 2009-08-02
Damn, very impressive
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Worthyness - 2009-08-02
Nice calculator. lol at the 16 quadrillion chaos scrolls =P
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Nightclaw - 2010-03-02
The link to the scrollcalculator is broken for me..
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - shouri - 2010-03-02
Nightclaw Wrote:The link to the scrollcalculator is broken for me..
Can't believe I have to say this. You just bumped a 6... err 7... month old thread. Next time PM the original thread starter and ask for a new link instead of necro-posting.
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Nightclaw - 2010-03-02
Does it matter that an old thread is bumped really now?
On topic post and something that would help everybody that views it...
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Typhoon - 2010-03-02
Nightclaw Wrote:Does it matter that an old thread is bumped really now?
Why would it not matter?
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Nightclaw - 2010-03-02
Cuz its just a forum.... does the fact that an old thread shows up on your screen really bother you?
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Bacon - 2010-03-02
Nightclaw Wrote:Cuz its just a forum.... does the fact that an old thread shows up on your screen really bother you?Yes, it does.
Enjoy your infraction hyperhopper. The only thing that's changed about you is your name. What a pity, you had so much going for you.
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Nightclaw - 2010-03-02
Bacon Wrote:Yes, it does.
Enjoy your infraction hyperhopper. The only thing that's changed about you is your name. What a pity, you had so much going for you.
Then you must have severe OCD to get out of shape over some text moving to a different page.....
Also, why do you cling to the idea that I am hyperhopper. I was on IRC when he quit. He said he wasnt coming back..
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Typhoon - 2010-03-02
It doesn't matter if it bothers anyone, it's a rule. And your post didn't contribute anything to the thread lol
Rules Wrote:B. No Necroposting - 1 point
Definition: "The posting in a thread in which the discussion material is more than 1 week old and an insignificant contribution is made to the thread."
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Nightclaw - 2010-03-02
Insignificant?
THE WHOLE TOPIC OF THE THREAD ISNT WORKING! Thats as significant as you can get.
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Typhoon - 2010-03-02
lol....................
maybe thats why it was dead, or maybe you could have just messaged the OP
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - Five Second Pose - 2010-03-02
Your bickering isn't contributing to this thread either, you know. Not all of it, anyway.
Want to calculate chaos scroll probabilities and stuff like that? - MissingLink - 2010-03-02
Nightclaw Wrote:Then you must have severe OCD to get out of shape over some text moving to a different page.....
He does have a point here; why are some of you so obsessed about this sort of thing? It harms no one to revive a thread. Better than starting a new one, isn't it?